Konstantin Simonov doubts the bright future of the electromobility industry.

Posted by kachalo on 26 ноября, 2021 in government | Short Link

It is sometimes interesting to listen to the opinions of expert opponents regarding the development of the electric vehicle industry. It is doubly interesting, and sometimes even funny, when people are trying to talk about this, not only having no relation to this industry, but also directly promoting the interests of the oil and gas sector. By the way, looking ahead, and announcing the following material, it was on such a policy that Donald Trump got burned.

Today I will oppose Konstantin Simonova, General Director of the National Energy Security Fund, and Vice-Rector of the Financial University.

In addition to the usual glorification and praise of the oil and gas industry, Simonov likes to blame the electromobility sector, using various epithets, where «

Konstantin Simonov, in his last broadcast, read out forecasts for the development of the electromobility sector from, as he called, some electro-optimists. Moreover, he did not specify which ones, from which resources he took this information, not a single specific link. For this reason alone, I, who have been dealing with electromobility for four years on a daily basis, did not begin to trust the figures expressed. But in order not to be unfounded in opposition, and since the program also touched upon China, I bring to your attention specific statistics based on figures for production, sales, registrations. I also have the expert opinion of analysts from the world’s most famous consulting company specializing in solving problems related to strategic management,

A little later, he clarified that 3 million is the figure for the annual production of electric vehicles in China. Hmm, that’s interesting. Again, there was no reference to a specific source. Let’s see what China already has now, and what, according to experts, will be ahead.

More than two million electric vehicles were sold globally in 2019, with electric vehicles accounting for a record 2.5 percent of the global passenger car market. Moreover, in the past

But the well-known crisis hit all sectors of the economy and the purchasing power of the population. Therefore, most likely, the absolute total figures for the current year will not be a record, it is good if they repeat the figure of 2019. However, since August there has been an explosive demand for electric cars in China. Sales of new passenger electric cars increased in August

Xu Haidong, Deputy Chief Engineer

The main thing, mind you, these are figures taking into account the past crisis, economic recovery, and so far without launching the Tesla Gigafactory in Shanghai at full production capacity. And in the Chinese «cage» of auto companies there are several more brands and production facilities that should «shoot» in the next couple of years. Let’s add a giant plant here

And here we have not counted the rapidly growing companies #xpeng and #nio, whose models are gaining popularity from month to month. They also did not count the newcomer Wuling HongGuang, and #volkswagen, #renault, #gm and others, which are increasing their production in China. That is, the real figures for the production of electric vehicles in China by the mid-20s will be at the level of 5 million electric cars of various categories per year.

And this desire is confirmed by the leadership of China. President of China

The explosive growth of the electric vehicle market in China is driven by a clear line of policy pursued by the country’s leadership. In particular, China has set strict emission targets for vehicles, and the government is stimulating sales of electric vehicles by increasing purchase subsidies to RMB 22,500 and exempting electric vehicles from sales tax. And in China, license plate quotas have long been in effect to limit the number of new vehicles on the road in order to reduce pollution. But this does not apply to electric vehicles.

Based on this

Based on the foregoing, we can conclude that by the mid-1920s, China will have the most stable automotive industry in every sense, more precisely, the electric vehicle industry.

According to experts

I, being that electro-optimist, and given the policy pursued by the Chinese government in relation to the level of air pollution, and, consequently, to the automotive and energy industries, I believe that by 2030-35, the consumption of petroleum products in China (in these industries) can be reduced to statistical error figures.

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The policy to stimulate the development of emission-free vehicle production in China has resulted in a disproportionate number of start-ups and small-scale manufacturers. Realizing this, the Chinese government introduced certain barriers, only by overcoming which the company could count on state support in the form of joining the system of tax incentives and subsidies. This eliminated some of the firms that could not establish the required level of production, and whose products were not successful with customers. The crisis that broke out this year has once again «brushed» the country’s electromobility industry, leaving afloat those whose products have really proven their relevance. And it made the Chinese auto industry stronger and more resilient to crises.

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